![]() ![]() ![]() It was concluded that reduction of wild boar population and carcass removal to stop the spread of ASFV in the wild boar population are more effective when applied preventively in the infected area. ![]() To evaluate the preventive strategies proposed in EFSA's Scientific Opinion (2015) to stop the spread of ASFV in the wild boar population, a simulation model, building on expert knowledge and literature was used. ‘Wild boar density’, ‘total road length’ (as proxy for human activity) and ‘average suitable wild boar habitat availability’ were identified as predictors for the occurrence of ASF in Estonia by a Bayesian hierarchical model, whereas ‘wild boar density’ and ‘density of pig farms’ were predictors according to a generalised additive model. The spatial analysis concluded that human-mediated spread of ASFV continues to play a critical role in the ASF epidemiology, despite all measures currently taken. A peak in the ASF incidence was observed 6 months after the first observed case, followed by a significant reduction of the number of cases and low levels of African swine fever virus (ASFV) circulation at the end of 38 months follow-up period at different spatial resolutions. The temporal analysis demonstrated that the average proportions of PCR and antibody-ELISA positive samples from the hunted wild boar remained below 3.9 and 6.6, respectively. As the left hand and pedal execute the isorhythmic skeleton, the right hand engages in a series of melodic elaborations that continually increase in complexity before suddenly shedding all ornament and appearing in their starkest form during the A section.EFSA assisted four countries in the analysis of epidemiological data on African swine fever (ASF), collected until September 2017. Each of the five sections has the same underlying structure-eight repetitions of a 13-beat phrase, and all are based on an isorhythmic and sequential cantus firmus. For example, the introduction that precedes the K is reversed in the coda that follows the A, and at the center of the piece, or more specifically, at the middle of the C section, the mode changes from D minor to D major. This structure is spanned by several symmetries. Cecilia, the traditional patron saint of music, Annum per Annum bases its five-part structure on the ordinary of the mass: the lone letters K-G-C-S-A that mark each section correspond to the mass movements (Kyrie, Gloria, Credo, Sanctus, and Agnus Dei.). In fact, the work-one of only a handful for organ by the composer-was commissioned in 1980 to celebrate the 900th year in which daily masses were given at the Speier Cathedral. ![]()
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